Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 15.189655 17.135019 19.250115 21.723073 24.538381 27.647417 31.346221
2025-02-23 11.900611 14.375332 17.267544 20.906713 25.376973 30.705995 37.566041
2025-03-02 9.665686 12.390980 15.783345 20.337157 26.322099 33.963336 44.528501
2025-03-09 8.123573 10.984500 14.753718 20.119593 27.621807 37.825901 52.905489
2025-03-16 6.930070 9.832314 13.857554 19.903356 28.850402 41.753554 62.044141
2025-03-23 6.214979 9.220483 13.593364 20.500091 31.284898 47.729451 75.177172
2025-03-30 5.480678 8.464964 12.999007 20.495615 32.791222 52.526953 87.342878
2025-04-06 4.767862 7.636090 12.167711 19.978798 33.379352 55.929082 97.803646
2025-04-13 4.211759 6.976004 11.505001 19.621061 34.145156 59.700150 109.527329
2025-04-20 3.897492 6.669795 11.375740 20.136241 36.478773 66.530812 128.043668
2025-04-27 3.641546 6.427149 11.317035 20.756148 39.078940 74.233774 149.657420
2025-05-04 3.368064 6.116673 11.094141 21.032586 41.056393 81.040511 170.731860
2025-05-11 3.020376 5.636695 10.517674 20.584930 41.609766 85.249668 187.484713
2025-05-18 2.727930 5.225737 10.020887 20.226062 42.294323 89.860765 206.138169
2025-05-25 2.481146 4.873708 9.594975 19.951767 43.117261 94.917426 226.933805
2025-06-01 2.288583 4.606762 9.305935 19.925070 44.480956 101.423066 252.688975
2025-06-08 2.111888 4.351222 9.008528 19.836758 45.690103 107.782601 279.507161
2025-06-15 2.019472 4.261949 9.051124 20.519575 48.829426 119.365300 322.881890
2025-06-22 1.885185 4.066125 8.837455 20.574964 50.446560 127.429413 358.416729
2025-06-29 1.725436 3.795679 8.424926 20.095506 50.636313 131.819287 384.361403
2025-07-06 1.592656 3.571373 8.091128 19.761779 51.148513 137.160409 414.440317
2025-07-13 1.528132 3.497896 8.101350 20.299175 54.088229 149.799522 470.604301
2025-07-20 1.473798 3.442331 8.147625 20.937215 57.418409 164.212867 536.377016